OPEC Optimistic on Oil Demand Outlook

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Here's the latest news I'm tracking today.

 📈 Stocks / Finance

Dow Leads Stock Declines Amid Election Jitters

US stocks fell Monday, with the Dow dropping 0.6%, ahead of the presidential election and Fed's policy meeting. Polls show Harris gaining unexpected ground, impacting market sentiment. Treasury yields slipped, and Wall Street anticipates a 0.25% Fed rate cut despite inflation concerns.

Stocks and Post-Election Trends

Historically, major stock indices rise between Election Day and year-end, though initial declines are common. On average, the S&P 500 sees a 1.54% year-end increase, while the Nasdaq and Dow also rebound after early dips. Investors should expect volatility rather than immediate gains.

AIG Surpasses Profit Estimates Amid Strong Underwriting, Investment Gains

AIG beat third-quarter profit estimates with a 14% rise in net investment income and a 6% increase in general insurance premiums to $6.38B. Despite higher catastrophe losses of $417M, the insurer's accident year combined ratio remained strong at 88.3%, highlighting robust underwriting performance.

🪙 Crypto

Bitcoin Outperforms Treasuries as Investors Seek Higher Returns

Bitcoin's value surged 55% year-to-date, outpacing BlackRock's TLT ETF, which fell 8%. BTC now trades at 800 times the value of TLT, up from 466 in 2021. Bitcoin's market dominance hit 60.56%, as investors shift away from altcoins amid economic and political uncertainty.

🌎 Global Economy

OPEC Optimistic on Oil Demand Outlook

OPEC remains optimistic about global oil demand, with Secretary General Haitham Al Ghais stating that 'peak demand' is unlikely as the global economy grows. Growth in China and the U.S. supports this outlook. OPEC also delayed a planned output increase to counter weak demand and external supply.

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